Gold is on an even keel as focus turns to Fed meeting

Bengaluru — Gold prices steadied on Monday ahead of a US Federal Reserve meeting later in the week where markets will watch for indications of monetary easing in the world’s largest economy.

Spot gold was up 0.2% at $1,419.91 per ounce in early-morning trading. Prices had dropped about half a percent in the previous week, pressured by dollar strength and robust US economic data.

US gold futures were little changed at $1,419.80 an ounce.

“This week we have the FOMC [Federal Open Market Committee] meeting, where we are likely to see a dovish outlook — this will lead to weakness in the dollar and will eventually trigger some upside in gold prices,” said Kunal Shah, head of research at Nirmal Bang Commodities in Mumbai, India.

The Fed is expected to trim the key interest rate at least 25 basis points (bps) at its July 30-31 meeting. Investors will also look for signals of likely additional cuts in the pipeline.

Interest rate futures are fully priced for a quarter-point rate cut from the Fed on Wednesday, with only a small chance of a half-point move.

Meanwhile, US and Chinese trade talks are shifting to Shanghai this week, as negotiators from both countries meet for their first in-person talks since a truce at G20 in June. Expectations are low for a breakthrough.

“If talks continue to drag on, it will have a negative impact on the global economy. You should expect to see some more easing by central banks around the world, not only by the United States,” said Helen Lau, an analyst at Argonaut Securities, adding that this could provide support to gold.

On the technical front, gold looks neutral at $1,412-$1,427 per ounce, and an escape could suggest a direction, according to Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao.

SPDR Gold Trust, the world’s largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, said its holdings fell 0.14% to 818.14 tons on Friday.

Hedge funds and money managers reduced their bullish stance in Comex gold in the week to July 23, the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) said on Friday.

Silver dipped 0.1% to $16.38 per ounce, while palladium fell 0.6% to $1,526.43 per ounce.

Meanwhile, platinum inched 0.3% higher to $862.27 per ounce.

Reuters