Gold loses ground amid the expectation of higher US rates

Bengaluru — Gold prices inched lower on Thursday amid the expectation of higher US interest rates, but managed to hold above a key psychological level of $1,200 which acted as a strong support

Spot gold was down 0.2% at $1,203.86/oz at 3.29am GMT, after rising nearly 0.5% in the previous session.

US gold futures were down 0.1% at $1,209.90/oz.

Spot gold has been trading in an $8 range for the past two sessions, with investors keenly watching the $1,200 level after the metal broke below that and hit a one-and-a-half-year low of $1,159.96 early in August.

“There is certainly some ambiguity following last week’s Jackson Hole symposium where [Federal Reserve chair Jerome] Powell was a little bit dovish in investors’ point of view,” ANZ analyst Daniel Hynes said.

“Investors are grappling amid positive data coming through [from the US] and that’s why prices are stuck just above $1,200 at the moment without any sort of clear outlook, especially around the rates for 2019.”

Data showing a higher than expected annualised growth in second-quarter US GDP cemented the expectation for a rate hike in September, with a 96% probability, according to Fed funds futures.

Higher rates dent the appeal of non-interest-yielding gold, boosting the dollar in which the yellow metal is priced.

The dollar index against a basket of six major currencies stayed above a four-week low of 94.434 hit on Tuesday.

The greenback has been on the defensive this week with safe-haven demand for the currency diminishing in the wake of improving risk sentiment in broader markets following promising Nafta negotiations.

Bullion investors’ focus would now shift to the trade negotiations between the US and China and the consequences, Hynes said.

Gold prices are heading for a fifth consecutive monthly fall, which would make it the precious metal’s longest losing streak since early 2013. The metal has declined about 7.4% so far in 2018 amid international trade disputes and the Turkish currency crisis, with investors preferring the dollar as a safe haven.

“While a [relatively] stronger dollar and US economic growth are hurting the bullion’s appeal, concerns that Turkey’s financial crisis could spread may give the metal a reversal of fate,” said Renisha Chainani, head of commodity and currency research at Monarch Networth Capital.

“Gold’s short-cover risks are elevated. The setup, with prices near key support [at $1,200] and record-short net positions, is a recipe for a sharp rally.”

Spot silver was down 0.2% at $14.69.

Platinum was down 1% at $792.90, while palladium was down 0.8% at $957 after hitting its highest since July 9 at $967 on Wednesday.

Reuters

Source: businesslive.co.za