Gold surfs on the hope of monetary easing

Bengaluru — Gold prices rose on Wednesday on concern about global growth and as the latest nominations to major central banks reinforced the expectation of monetary policy easing.

Spot gold was up 0.1% at $1,419.20/oz, as of 11.55am GMT, having earlier hit its highest since June 25, at $1,435.99. US gold futures rose 1% to $1,422.30.

EU leaders’ nomination of IMF chief Christine Lagarde as Mario Draghi’s replacement at the helm of the European Central Bank (ECB) reinforced the expectation of monetary policy easing in the bloc.

Traders greeted the decision by kicking German 10-year bund yields to record lows.

“Yields falling further on eurozone on [the nomination of Lagarde] is positive for gold. With the pledge to continue loose monetary policy and further easing rates, the opportunity cost of holding gold is falling and that’s giving support to gold,” said Quantitative Commodity Research analyst Peter Fertig.

Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump announced on Tuesday the names of two nominees to fill vacant posts on the Federal Reserve Board. Trump says he wants lower rates to better compete with China and has accused Jerome Powell, whom he appointed to lead the central bank in early 2018, of doing a “bad job”.

“Trump’s nominees, if appointed and approved, will support his view [for rate cuts]. If you have a Fed that is no longer independent and strong to resist the siren calls of the president, what better arguments will you get for buying gold,” Fertig said.

The dollar also struggled for traction, while US bond yields fell to their lowest levels since late 2016, all boosting gold’s appeal.

US treasury yields were also pressured by a drop in British bond yields after Bank of England governor Mark Carney flagged uncertainties over Brexit and trade conflicts that prompted speculation the central bank may lower interest rates.

Gold hit a six-year high last week at $1,438.63/oz, driven by a dovish outlook from major central banks and an escalation of tension between the US and Iran.

“Downbeat economic data and race to the bottom in bond yields are prompting safe-haven inflows into gold,” said Société Générale analyst Robin Bhar.

SPDR Gold Trust, the world’s largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, said its holdings dipped 0.2% to 798.44 tonnes on Tuesday. But, holdings have gained more than 5% over the past month, indicating investor interest in bullion.

Silver fell 0.5% to $15.22/oz.

Platinum climbed 0.6% to $832.60/oz, while palladium was down 0.1% at $1,556/oz, having touched a more than three-month peak of $1,568 earlier in the session.

Reuters

Source: businesslive.co.za