Oil falls as Russia says Opec should consider easing supply cuts

London — Oil fell on Monday after Russia said an oil cartel Opec-led pact may consider easing output cuts next year but prices held near recent three-month highs on hopes for a trade deal between the US and China.

Brent crude was down 19c, or 0.29%, at $65.95 a barrel by 10.10am GMT in thin trading ahead of the Christmas holiday. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) was down 29c, or 0.48%, at $60.15 a barrel.

Opec and other top producing nations led by Russia (Opec+) agreed in December to extend and deepen output cuts in the first quarter of 2020. However, Russian energy minister Alexander Novak said on Monday that Opec+ may consider easing the output restrictions at their meeting in March.

“We can consider any options, including gradual easing of quotas, including continuation of the deal,” Novak told Russia’s RBC TV in an interview recorded last week, adding that Russia’s oil output was set to hit a record high this year.

Non-Opec global supply is expected to rise in 2020 due to higher output from countries including the US, Brazil, Norway and Guyana, which became an oil producer last week.

Another source of more oil could emerge in the coming months after Kuwait indicated that a long-standing dispute over the “neutral zone” on its border with Saudi Arabia will be resolved by the end of 2019.

Production at two large oilfields in the neutral zone was halted more than three years ago, cutting output by some 500,000 barrels per day (bpd).

Oil prices have risen since the US and China agreed a phase-one trade deal earlier this month following months of tit-for-tat negotiations that unsettled markets. Under the deal due to be signed in January, the US is expected to agree to reduce some tariffs in return for a big increase in purchases of US agricultural products by Chinese importers.

“Oil prices will continue to benefit from the positive developments in US-China trade,” said Stephen Innes, chief Asia market strategist at AxiTrader.

Data showing that US energy companies added the most oil rigs last week since February 2018, primarily in the Permian shale basin, also put pressure on prices.

Although the oil rig count was on track to fall for the first year since 2016 as drillers slash spending to focus on returns, higher productivity means output in most shale basins has increased to record levels in 2019.

Reuters