Oil is stronger on the hope of stimulus

Seoul — Oil prices rose for a second day on Tuesday on expectations that central banks are likely to enact financial stimulus to offset the impacts of the coronavirus outbreak and growing optimism that the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (Opec) will order deeper output cuts.

Brent crude rose $1.26 a barrel, or 2.4%, to $53.16 a barrel by 4.10am GMT. US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) rose $1.24, or 2.7%, to $47.99 a barrel.

Brent and WTI have rebounded somewhat over the past two days from a more than 20% drop from their 2020 peak in January that was caused by signs the coronavirus spread has dented fuel demand.

Since Friday, WTI has gained 7.2% while the front-month Brent contract has climbed 7%, the biggest two-day percentage gains for both contracts since prices snapped back after the missile attacks on Saudi Arabian oil facilities in September 2019.

“Oil prices got their groove back after the world’s largest economies signalled they will be united in fighting off the economic impact of the coronavirus and on the Russian capitulation in agreeing to deliver deeper production cuts at this week’s meeting,” said Edward Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda.

Group of Seven (G7) finance ministers will discuss this week how to best to cushion the impact of the outbreak on economic growth, French finance minister Bruno Le Maire said on Monday. That is occurring as other major central banks have promised monetary and fiscal stimulus.

The coronavirus, which originated in China, has spread to more than 60 countries and has killed more than 3,000 people globally.

“The coronavirus is still spreading globally and until markets can possibly calculate a return of normal travel and trade, oil will struggle,” Moya said.

With lingering worries over oil demand amid the virus outbreak, several members of Opec are mulling a bigger oil output cut of possibly 1-million barrels a day. The previous proposal was for an additional reduction of 600,000 barrels.

Opec and its allies, a group known as Opec+, are expected to announce deeper output cuts at their meeting on March 5-6 in Vienna. The group had agreed to cut output by 1.7-million barrels a day in a deal that runs to the end of March.

Singapore-based analyst Margaret Yang at CMC Markets said the gradual resumption of business activities in China has also supported oil prices.

Brent has found strong technical support at $51 a barrel, while immediate resistance levels are at $54.70 and $57.20 a barrel, she said.

Oil stockpiles in the US, the world’s biggest crude producer and consumer, are expected to rise for a sixth week by 3.3 million barrels, while refined product inventories are forecast to fall, according to Reuters poll.

Reuters