Singapore — Oil prices slipped for a third consecutive session on Wednesday as tensions escalated between the US and China before this week’s trade talks, raising uncertainties for global economic growth and oil demand.
US industry data showing a bigger-than-expected rise in stockpiles at the world’s top oil producer also depressed prices. Brent crude futures fell 24 cents, or 0.4%, to $58.00 a barrel by 6.42am, while US West Texas Intermediate crude was at $52.39, down 24 cents, or 0.5%.
Negotiators from the world’s top two economies will meet in Washington on Thursday and Friday in the latest effort to hammer out a deal aimed at ending a long-running trade dispute that has slowed global economic growth.
But tensions between the pair rose this week after the US imposed visa restrictions on Chinese officials for the detention or abuse of Muslim minorities, while a row escalated over comments by a leading US National Basketball Association official in support of protests in Hong Kong.
The issues have set markets on a risk-aversion course, said Howie Lee, an economist with Singapore’s OCBC bank, even though the global oil market remains in a supply deficit that should in theory support prices at above $60 a barrel.
“The market is just over-bearish … too focused on the demand side of the equation,” Lee said.
The concerns have overshadowed the threat of Opec-member Ecuador losing a third of its oil supply due to antigovernment protests that have seriously affected oil output.
Ecuadorean state-run firm Petroamazonas estimates it could lose about 188,000 barrels per day (bpd), or more than a third of its crude production, due to unrest at its facilities.
An uprising in Iraq has also entered a second week, threatening output at Opec’s second-largest producer.
“Political turmoil among Opec members will provide only a temporary panacea for oil prices; the event risk of US-China trade is much larger,” Jeffrey Halley, senior market analyst for Asia Pacific at brokerage Oanda, wrote in a note.
In the US, meanwhile, crude stockpiles rose by 4.1-million barrels in the week ended October 4 to 422-million barrels, data from industry group the American Petroleum Institute showed on Tuesday. Analysts had expected an increase of 1.4-million barrels, a Reuters poll shows.
The weekly US Energy Information Administration (EIA) report is due at 4.30pm on Wednesday.
The EIA said on Tuesday US crude production is expected to rise by 1.27-million bpd in 2019 to a record 12.26-million bpd, slightly above its previous forecast for a rise of 1.25-million bpd.
Output in 2020 is forecast to rise by 910,000 bpd to 13.17-million bpd, it said, below its previous estimate of a rise of 990,000 bpd to 13.23-million bpd.