Oil prices fall on expectations of increasing supply

London — Crude oil prices fell on Monday on expectations of increasing supply, while higher energy costs and rising Covid-19 cases are also seen weighing on demand.

Brent crude futures fell 96 cents, or 1.2%, to $81.21 a barrel, as of 10.36am GMT. US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude lost 73 cents, or 0.9%, to $80.06 a barrel.

Oil markets have dropped for the last three weeks, hit by a strengthening dollar and speculation that President Joe Biden’s administration might release oil from the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve to cool prices.

“Possible releases of oil from US strategic petroleum reserves get lots of the blame from the decline in price,” SEB chief commodities analyst Bjarne Schieldrop said.

“The more likely reason for the current oil price weakness is risingCovid-19 infection rates and associated concerns for global oil demand on the back of lockdowns or restrictions.”

US energy firms this week added oil and natural gas rigs for a third week in a row with crude prices hovering near a seven-year high, prompting some drillers to return to the wellpad.

The oil and gas rig count, an early indicator of future output, rose by six to 556 in the week to November 12, its highest level since April 2020, energy services firm Baker Hughes said on Friday.

Meanwhile, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (Opec) last week cut its world oil demand forecast for the fourth quarter by 330,000 barrels per day (bpd) from last month’s forecast, as high energy prices hampered an economic recovery from the Covid-19 pandemic.

Europe has become the epicentre of the Covid-19 pandemic again, prompting some governments to consider reimposing unpopular lockdowns, while China is battling the spread of its biggest outbreak caused by the Delta variant.

Russia’s Rosneft, the world’s second-biggest oil company by output after Saudi Aramco, warned on Friday of a potential “super cycle” in global energy markets, raising the prospect of even higher prices as demand outstrips supply.
Reuters