Oil prices rise but possible second wave of Covid-19 threatens

London — Oil prices edged higher on Friday but were on track for their first weekly fall in seven as new US coronavirus cases spiked, raising the prospect of a second wave hitting demand.

Brent was up 20 US cents, or 0.52%, at $38.75 a barrel by 9.26am GMT, having lost more than $1 earlier in the session.

After falling more than 5% on Friday, West Texas Intermediate was up 15c, or 0.41% to $36.49 a barrel. Both contracts ended about 8% lower on Thursday.

The oil benchmarks are heading for weekly declines of more than 8%, their first after six weeks of gains, which have lifted them off their April lows.

Fear that the coronavirus pandemic may be far from over has brought the rally to a halt, with more than five US states seeing a spike in new infections.

On Friday, Barclays raised its oil price forecasts for 2020 by $4 per barrel, citing a bigger deficit in the second half of the year, although it expressed caution on a slow recovery in the near term.

“The rate of change in fundamentals is likely to moderate significantly as incremental demand improvement will depend more on consumer behaviour than the easing of enforced movement restrictions,” the British bank said in a note.

Producers from the US, as well as Opec and its allies, a group known as Opec+, have been cutting supply.

Opec+ cut oil supplies by 9.7-million barrels per day (bpd), about 10% of pre-pandemic demand, and agreed last weekend to extend the reduction.

US crude and petrol stockpiles grew last week, government data showed. US crude inventories hit a record 538.1-million barrels, as cheap imports from Saudi Arabia flowed into the country.

Reuters