Election results after 20% counted 

The IEC indicated just after 11am on Thursday that it had counted about 4.1 million votes, equal to nearly 23% of the estimated number of votes given a 70% voter turnout. While such a big sample will make any researcher happy to defend his findings, it does not apply to elections as voting districts differ from place to place.

However, the results to date are worth noting. Under the assumption that the results are representative to SA as a whole, the governing ANC lost some ground. This far, it got 55% support compared to 62% in 2014, while the DA increased its support from 22% to 26%.

The EFF has seen its support increase to 8.5% (6.4% in 2014), while the VF Plus increased from less than 1% to 3%. Newcomers GOOD and ATM also got into parliament. The total number of parties represented in the national assembly is set to increase from 13 to 17. Newcomers GOOD and ATM look set to gain seats, while ASC and SRWP might also get into parliament. 

The following table shows how representation in parliament can change if the voting patterns are similar in voting districts that still need to announce their results:

Party	% of votes	Seats 2019F	2014
ANC	54.8%	219	249
DA	26%	104	89
EFF	8.5%	34	25
VF Plus	3.1%	12	4
IFP	1.7%	7	10
ACDP	1.1%	4	3
GOOD	0.7%	3	New
UDM	0.5%	2	4
ATM	0.4%	2	New
COPE	0.4%	1	3
AIC	0.3%	1	3
ALJAMA	0.2%	1	0
ICOSA	0.2%	1	0
PAC	0.2%	1	1
NFP	0.2%	1	6
ASC	0.1%	1	New
SRWP	0.1%	1	New
LAND	0.1%	0
AASD	0.1%	0
APC	0.1%	0	1
ATA	0.1%	0
ACO	0.1%	0
ZACP	0.1%	0
AGANG SA	0.1%	0	2
AZAPO	0.1%	0
BLF	0.1%	0
FN	0.1%	0
ADEC	0.0%	0
F4SD	0.0%	0
WF	0.0%	0
PA	0.0%	0
DLC	0.0%	0
BRA	0.0%	0
CPM	0.0%	0
CSA	0.0%	0
ECOFORUM	0.0%	0
ACM	0.0%	0
A.C.D	0.0%	0
MF	0.0%	0
IRC	0.0%	0
ARU	0.0%	0
SANCOTA	0.0%	0
FREE DEMS	0.0%	0
PAU	0.0%	0
NAPF	0.0%	0
SAMEBA	0.0%	0
NPA	0.0%	0
PRM	0.0%	0
Total	100%	400	400