Asian stocks and US equity futures sink on global recession fears

Tokyo — Asian stocks and US equity futures sank on Thursday, while bonds and the safe-haven US dollar and Japanese yen were bid as mounting evidence of a US slowdown fuelled worries for a global recession.

Investors were inclined to take money off the table after recent strong gains, and with many global markets off on Good Friday, when potentially pivotal US monthly payrolls data is due.

Chinese blue chips eased 0.27%. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng was about flat, but tech shares on the index dropped 0.8%

Japan’s Nikkei tumbled about 1%, helping to drag MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares down 0.8%. The Asia-wide index had surged more than 5% since mid-March to close at a 1½-month high on Tuesday.

South Korea’s Kospi sank 0.6%, while Australia’s equity benchmark sagged about 0.3%.

US Nasdaq e-mini futures pointed to a 0.45% lower restart, after the tech stock benchmark slumped 1% overnight. E-mini futures for the broader S&P 500 indicated a 0.24% decline at the reopen, extending Wednesday’s 0.25% slide.

Data overnight showed US private employers hired far fewer workers than expected in March, adding to signs of a loosening labour market from earlier in the week.

The country’s services sector also slowed more than expected, while earlier figures showed a stalling at factories as well.

“Cracks have started to appear in the US economic data this week, and slowdown fears are re-emerging”, spurring investors to sell riskier assets and shift to safer assets, including treasuries and the dollar, IG analyst Tony Sycamore wrote in a client note.

“It makes sense to square some risk ahead of the Easter long weekend,” he said. “All eyes are now on Friday’s non-farm payrolls release.”

As signs have built this week for a sharp US slowdown; traders have been pricing for a more dovish Fed. Money markets now see the odds of a further quarter-point rate hike at the May meeting vs a pause as a coin toss. And 71 basis points (bps) of easing are priced by year-end.

Treasury yields have fallen as a result. The 10-year note yielded about 3.30% in Tokyo, sticking close to the nearly seven-month low of 3.266% reached overnight.

That helped the yen, which is highly sensitive to US yields, gain against fellow safe-haven the greenback.

The dollar slipped 0.13% to 131.15 against the yen, but was higher against most other major currencies. The dollar index rose 0.12% to 101.99, continuing its bounce from a two-month low.

The risk-sensitive, commodity-linked Australian and New Zealand dollars each slid about 0.3% against their US peer. The euro was off 0.16% at %1.0891.

Crude oil was under pressure, with West Texas Intermediate (WTI) down 57c at $80.04 a barrel and Brent off 61c at $84.38.

Reuters