Gold inches up as investors bank on Fed rates pause

Bengaluru — Gold prices edged higher on Monday as investors priced in a pause in interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve at its policy meeting this week, with a focus on the US central bank’s rate outlook.

Spot gold rose 0.2% to $1,928.19 per ounce by 2.56am GMT (4.56am). US gold futures were up 0.2% to $1,949.30.

Asian shares fell, making gold more attractive for investors before policy decisions by the Fed on Wednesday, Bank of England on Thursday and the Bank of Japan on Friday.

“Gold was making some moves to the upside to start the week on some safe-haven buying, with the upcoming economic calendar containing plenty of possible central bank event-risk,” said KCM Trade chief market analyst Tim Waterer.

Faster growth, cooler inflation and a job market that won’t quit have set the stage for an updated batch of forecasts from Fed officials this week, which is likely to reflect their growing faith in prospects for an economic soft landing.

However, they are likely to keep one more rate hike on the table.

Gold, which offers no yield, tends to fall out of favour among investors when interest rates rise.

Comex gold speculators cut net long position by 16,544 contracts in week ended September 12, data showed on Friday.

“Indeed, the growing soft-landing and higher-for-longer rates narrative sapped investor appetite for the yellow metal,” TD Securities wrote in a weekend note.

“The upbeat CPI and retail sales data only further emboldened this narrative, suggesting the bulls will need to be patient for another upside catalyst.”

Chinese gold prices hit record highs last week, extending a months-long rally as consumers snap up the safe-haven asset to offset a depreciating yuan. Physical gold premiums also soared to new highs.

Spot silver climbed 0.8% to $23.19 per ounce, platinum gained 0.4% to $928.66 and palladium was flat at $1,248.50.

Reuters