Oil falls on weaker economic outlook as US stocks rise

New York — Oil futures fell more than $1 a barrel on Wednesday, pressured by a weaker global economic growth outlook and a report of rising US crude inventories, even as Washington’s sanctions on Iran looked likely to curb that country’s crude supplies.

Benchmark Brent crude oil was down $1.01 a barrel at $71.45 by 1.51pm GMT. US light crude fell $1.15 a barrel to a low of $65.89.

“Oil bears are taking their turn in the driving seat,” said Stephen Brennock, analyst at London broker PVM Oil Associates.

“Adding to the weakening price backdrop are signs that a deepening trade spat between the US and China is undermining oil demand.” US crude stocks rose by 3.7-million barrels in the week to August 10, to 410.8-million barrels, private industry group the American Petroleum Institute (API) said on Tuesday. Crude stocks at the Cushing, Oklahoma, delivery hub rose by 1.6-million barrels, the API said.

Investors are concerned about the world economy as trade disputes between escalate between the US and its major trading partners.

The OECD’s composite leading indicator, which covers the western advanced economies plus China, India, Russia, Brazil, Indonesia and SA, slipped below trend in May and June.

World trade volume growth peaked in January, and since then has nearly halved to less than 3% by May, according to the Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.

The US and China have been locked in a trade battle for months, a dispute that threatens to curb economic activity in both countries.

Chinese oil importers now appear to be shying away from buying US crude oil as they fear Beijing may decide to add the commodity to its tariff list.

Not a single tanker has loaded crude oil from the US bound for China since the start of August, Thomson Reuters Eikon ship tracking data showed, compared with about 300,000 barrels per day (bpd) in June and July.

Meanwhile, investors are watching the effect of US sanctions on Tehran, which analysts say could remove as much as 1-million bpd of Iranian crude from the market by next year.

BMI Research said oil markets would “struggle for direction, as uncertainty around both the impact on supply from the Iranian sanctions and escalating trade tensions between the US and China persists”.

Reuters