Oil prices settle ahead of oil cartel meeting

London — Brent oil prices steadied on Wednesday, paring early gains as markets assessed whether deeper output cuts by major producers would be enough to offset the effects of the coronavirus outbreak.

Brent crude was down by one US cent at $51.85 a barrel at 9.15am GMT.

US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) was up by 8c at $47.26 a barrel. The contract had gained 98c earlier in the session.

Saudi Arabia and other Opec members will seek to persuade Russia on Wednesday to join them in large additional oil output cuts to prop up prices which have tumbled because of the coronavirus outbreak.

“With demand-side uncertainties having already dragged Brent futures about 19% lower since the start of the year … oil’s upside appears significantly capped amid persistent concerns over the coronavirus outbreak,” said Han Tan, market analyst at FXTM.

A technical panel of several representatives from Opec states, Russia and other producers recommended on Tuesday cutting output by as much as an extra one-million barrels per day (bpd) during the second quarter only.

“What offered relatively more support to oil yesterday was that the Opec+ joint technical committee recommended to Opec+ to increase the level of additional cuts. This also appears to be providing some early morning strength to the oil market today,”  ING analyst Warren Patterson said.

Goldman Sachs has again cut its Brent price forecast to $45 a barrel in April, while expecting Brent gradually recovering to $60 a barrel by the year-end.

The bank said while an output cut by Opec “will help normalise oil demand and inventories later this year, they can’t prevent an already started large oil inventory accumulation.”

Morgan Stanley also cut its second-quarter 2020 Brent price forecast to $55 per barrel and its WTI outlook to $50 on expectations that China’s 2020 oil demand growth would be close to zero and that demand elsewhere may weaken because of the virus.

The US Federal Reserve cut interest rates on Tuesday in a bid to shield the world’s largest economy from the impact of the coronavirus, but the decision offered only limited support for crude.

US crude oil inventories rose in the most recent week, while gasoline and distillate stocks fell, data from industry group the American Petroleum Institute showed on Tuesday.

Crude inventories rose by 1.7-million barrels in the week to February 28 to 446.6-million barrels, compared with analysts’ expectations for a build of 2.6-million barrels.

Reuters