Oil slips as trade friction intensifies

Singapore — Oil prices dipped on Friday amid concern about trade frictions between the US and other major economies, although crude market conditions remain tight due to supply disruptions and generally high demand.

US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were at $73.19 a barrel at 3.37am GMT, down 26c, or 0.4% from their last settlement. WTI on Thursday hit its highest since November 2014 at $74.03 a barrel.

Brent crude futures were at $77.73 a barrel, down 12c, or 0.2% from their last close.

Friday’s falls came as Asian stock markets were near nine-month lows amid an escalation of trade disputes between the US on one side and economies including China, India and the EU on the other.

China’s yuan slipped to a new low against the US-dollar on Friday and was on course for its worst month on record, as the increasingly bitter trade row with the US threatened to rattle the world’s second-biggest economy.

Unless the disputes get resolved, traders worry that tariffs on imported goods will start feeding into other markets, including oil.

Eventually, world economic growth would be choked off, analysts said.

Commodities brokerage Marex Spectron said this week that the macroeconomic outlook was “overwhelmingly bearish”.

Traders said Friday’s dip was also a result of profit-taking. Greg McKenna, chief market strategist at futures brokerage AxiTrader said this week’s crude price rises had “exhausted the bulls”.

Despite the gloomy outlook for global trade, oil markets for now remain tight.

North America’s oil markets have tightened significantly as an outage of Canada’s Syncrude has locked in more than 300,000 barrels a day of production. The outage is expected to last at least until the end of July, according to operator Suncot.

Outside North America, oil prices have been rallying for most of 2018 due to record demand and voluntary supply cuts led by the Middle East dominated producer cartel Opec.

Oil demand has been chasing records for most of the year, and Opec has said it will raise output in order to meet demand and replace crude from unplanned disruptions.

Looming US sanctions against Opec-exporter Iran are also fuelling Brent prices.

Unplanned supply disruptions from Libya to Venezuela have helped to further tighten the market.

Reuters