The Africa Energy Futures: Horizon 2030 report, recently published by DLA Piper Africa, entails an in-depth look at where the continent stands in regards to the energy transition. It also looks at the challenges and opportunities that will arise in the next five to ten years. Each of the 21 country chapters responds to the same set of questions and themes, allowing for comparative analysis.
Despite these differences, the report identifies a clear theme of governments across Africa increasing renewable energy capacity, both as part of a pro-energy transition agenda and as the most effective way to meet rising energy demand, which is expected to double by 2040. In some jurisdictions (Angola, Burundi and Ethiopia), this will take the form of expanded hydroelectric capacity and in others, the focus is on developing solar and wind infrastructure (Botswana, Kenya and South Africa) in each case aimed at reducing dependence on fossil fuels and biomass sources.
Other trends emerging from the report are:
- Almost all of the 21 countries surveyed have legislative and/or investment programmes in place for renewables, presenting both the chance for African nations to lead the energy transition and a large-scale cross-continental investment opportunity.
- It is anticipated that use of fossil fuels and biomass will continue to play a large part of the energy mix for almost all of the jurisdictions in the next five to ten years. However, outliers (Algeria, Angola and Nigeria) continue to encourage and secure investment in new oil and gas developments.
- The incentives for transitioning to renewable energy are recognised and acknowledged in Africa’s markets. In particular, it is perceived as a solution to overcome generation deficits as well as a way of achieving middle-income country status by 2030.
- The key to achieving the energy transition will be implementation. Countries will need to ensure that they have in place not only attractive legislative frameworks, but also real drive from governments to incentivise clean energy investment and “bankable” projects.
DLA Piper’s head of the UK energy and natural resources practice and partner, James Carter, said: “Given the post-COP26 backdrop and findings, there is a heavy focus on how energy transition will help arrest climate change. Africa, because of its size and predicted future growth and development, will play a key role in decarbonising the global economy through its adoption of renewables and other technological breakthroughs. Our report highlights how far African countries have come and what can actually be achieved in a 2030 horizon.”
Download a copy of the report here.